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Space
Tokens
SpaceX
Aug 31
How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
Above 12
89
%
Above 13
8
%
$692,833 vol
7 more
SpaceX
How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
Market
Pays out
Odds
Above 12
1.10
x
89
%
Above 13
11.7
x
8
%
Above 14
46.8
x
1
%
Above 11
1.01
x
99
%
$692,833 vol
5 more
1 of 3
AI
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
1.44
x
67
%
Grok
9.41
x
10
%
$9,303,116 vol
8 markets
Industries
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $3.00
1.52
x
74
%
Above $2.75
1.10
x
94
%
$39,955 vol
12 markets
Industries
NVIDIA H200 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $4.50
2.14
x
40
%
Above $4.00
1.10
x
88
%
$72,856 vol
21 markets
Google
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Yes
7.25
x
13
%
No
1.10
x
87
%
$525,066 vol
1 market
Space
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
Before Sep 18, 2026
1.90
x
50
%
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.07
x
90
%
$126,593 vol
4 markets
Industries
NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $1.00
1.02
x
92
%
Above $1.25
6.74
x
15
%
$28,922 vol
10 markets
Industries
NVIDIA B200 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $6.50
2.34
x
40
%
Above $7.00
2.81
x
43
%
$68,822 vol
33 markets
Space
Total space launches in August
Above 15
1.31
x
50
%
Above 16
8.56
x
13
%
$30,948 vol
8 markets
Industries
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in August
Above $2.75
1.34
x
67
%
Above $3.00
46.8
x
1
%
$48,996 vol
9 markets
AI
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.79
x
54
%
Before 2027
1.36
x
72
%
$429,743 vol
4 markets
AI
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
1.62
x
58
%
OpenAI
3.29
x
30
%
$1,016,871 vol
9 markets
Industries
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in August
Above $0.50
1.07
x
93
%
Above $0.75
93.5
x
1
%
$89,679 vol
8 markets
Tech & Science
Measles cases this year?
Above 6000
3.08
x
31
%
Above 8000
5.90
x
16
%
$1,199,870 vol
5 markets
AI
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Monday?
Above $3.06
1.79
x
44
%
Above $3.01
1.67
x
58
%
$38,309 vol
20 markets
Tesla
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Yes
11.7
x
8
%
No
1.07
x
92
%
$352,297 vol
1 market
AI
Top AI model in August
claude-opus-5-high
1.57
x
50
%
claude-opus-5-max
2.66
x
32
%
$135,250 vol
5 markets
AI
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Monday?
Above $0.54
3.29
x
22
%
Above $0.49
1.23
x
81
%
$19,667 vol
19 markets
Public Health
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States this year?
Above 0
3.40
x
27
%
Above 1
6.29
x
15
%
$134,395 vol
6 markets
AI
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by end of year?
Above $8.57
1.83
x
53
%
Above $8.27
1.76
x
43
%
$75,330 vol
23 markets
AI
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Dec 1, 2026
5.56
x
18
%
Before Jan 1, 2027
5.25
x
15
%
$1,928,033 vol
5 markets
Public Health
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Yes
46.8
x
2
%
No
1.01
x
98
%
$1,873,909 vol
1 market