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What will the Bank of Japan do at the December BOJ meeting?
Hike 21-40 basis points
94
%
↑
8
%
Maintain current rate
7
%
↑
5
%
$132,829 vol
Show more
5
What will the European Central Bank do at the December ECB meeting?
Maintain current rate
97
%
Hike more than 25bp
1
%
↑
2
%
$35,676 vol
Show more
3
What will the Bank of England do at the December BOE meeting?
Cut 1-25 basis points
93
%
↑
2
%
Maintain current rate
7
%
↑
5
%
$25,624 vol
Show more
3
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations this year?
BJ
Before Jan 1, 2026
1
%
↑
2
%
$306,548 vol
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed this year?
B2
Before 2026
5
%
↑
1
%
$90,457 vol
What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?
Portugal
45
%
↑
9
%
Peru
38
%
↑
5
%
$1,814 vol
Show more
10
What countries will Trump visit before 2027?
Italy
42
%
↑
9
%
Israel
53
%
↑
3
%
$3,466 vol
Show more
22
What will the People's Bank of China do at the December PBOC meeting?
Maintain current rate
84
%
↑
1
%
Hike more than 10bp
6
%
$12,321 vol
Show more
3
Will the US recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?
B2
Before 2026
2
%
↑
1
%
$82,423 vol
Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom this year?
Rudy Giuliani
10
%
↑
4
%
Kid Rock (Robert James Ritchie)
6
%
↑
14
%
$21,545 vol
Show more
3
What companies will be added to the S&P 500 this year?
VS
Veeva Systems (VEEV)
22
%
↑
6
%
AM
Ares Management (ARES)
26
%
↑
9
%
$54,055 vol
Show more
4
Which countries will have a recession?
United Kingdom
43
%
↑
9
%
Japan
51
%
↑
8
%
$85,990 vol
Show more
2
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Bolivia
71
%
↑
1
%
Saudi Arabia
32
%
$125,115 vol
Show more
9
Will Zohran Mamdani visit Gracie Mansion before Feb 1, 2026?
Yes
99
%
No
1
%
$14,757 vol
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
BJ
Before Jan 1, 2027
16
%
↑
7
%
$46,427 vol
Which states will Trump visit before 2027?
Colorado
46
%
↑
12
%
Hawaii
45
%
↑
17
%
$1,401 vol
Show more
9
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
Yes
4
%
↑
3
%
No
96
%
↑
3
%
$25,685 vol
Will Tesla discontinue the Cybertruck this year?
B2
Before 2026
2
%
↑
1
%
$35,490 vol
Will Donald Trump visit Moscow this year?
M
Moscow
2
%
$75,362 vol
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?
At least 3
50
%
↑
1
%
At least 8
37
%
$16,048 vol
Show more
2
Will New York City open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?
BJ
Before Jan 2028
65
%
↑
6
%
$15,558 vol
Bank of Canada decision this month?
Maintains rate
96
%
↑
1
%
Cut 25bps
7
%
↑
1
%
$59,868 vol
Show more
3
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
By 2030
27
%
$28,139 vol
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter next year?
above 1000
59
%
↑
1
%
above 5000
24
%
↑
2
%
$11,466 vol
Show more
5
Scottish referendum called before 2027?
Before 2027
46
%
↑
40
%
$15,247 vol
Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?
Before Jan 2027
9
%
↑
5
%
Before Jul 2026
3
%
$13,255 vol
Show more
1
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza this year?
Yes
2
%
No
98
%
$61,188 vol
Will Planet Fitness report above 23 million members before January?
A2
above 23 million members
4
%
↑
2
%
$8,492 vol
What will the Bank of Mexico do at the December BdeM meeting?
Cut 1-25 basis points
91
%
Maintain current rate
8
%
↑
1
%
$27,842 vol
Show more
3
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
EJ
Ending Jun 4, 2029
76
%
↑
8
%
$2,683 vol
Who will visit New York City before June 2026?
Benjamin Netanyahu
50
%
↑
10
%
Joe Biden
35
%
$7,441 vol
Show more
8
When will Barack Obama's presidential library open to the public?
Before Jul 2026
71
%
↑
3
%
Before Jan 2027
86
%
$2,838 vol
Show more
1
Will Donald Trump join Bluesky this year?
B2
Before 2026
3
%
↑
2
%
$11,943 vol
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Russia this year?
Yes
3
%
↑
2
%
No
97
%
↑
2
%
$21,116 vol
Who will the next Pope be?
Pietro Parolin
9
%
Luis Antonio Tagle
4
%
$9,402 vol
Show more
3
Will Uber discontinue the Woman Driver Request Feature this year? This market pertains to the US Program.
B2
Before 2026
2
%
$9,303 vol
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
M
Mars
8
%
↑
2
%
$20,227 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the US this year?
Yes
1
%
↑
2
%
No
99
%
↑
2
%
$77,365 vol
Will the UK issue a new form of investor visa before the US issues a gold card?
B2
Before 2026
13
%
↑
1
%
$2,541 vol
What will the Reserve Bank of Australia do at the December RBA meeting?
Maintain current rate
99
%
Cut 1-25 basis points
2
%
↑
2
%
$22,524 vol
Show more
3
Where will Tesla diner's open this year?
SA
San Antonio, Texas
1
%
HT
Houston, Texas
8
%
↑
7
%
$2,925 vol
Show more
4
Where will Eric Emanuel stores open this year?
C
California
14
%
↑
1
%
NJ
New Jersey
15
%
$345 vol
Show more
7
EU has a new member before 2030?
Any country
80
%
$3,418 vol
Will the ban on Harvard accepting internationals end this year?
In 2025
88
%
↑
78
%
$14,565 vol
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
B2
Before 2030
22
%
$921 vol
Will Trump visit Outer Space this year?
OS
Outer Space
1
%
↑
1
%
$18,972 vol
Will Sig Sauer discontinue the P320 this year?
B2
Before 2026
10
%
$9,111 vol
EU loses a member before 2030?
By 2030
23
%
$12,732 vol
Will Elon Musk visit Outer Space this year?
Outer Space
1
%
$3,543 vol
Will Zohran Mamdani be deported this year?
Before 2026
1
%
$26,455 vol
Will Riley Gaines and AOC debate this year?
B2
Before 2026
2
%
$15,884 vol
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 445
52
%
At least 450
31
%
$187 vol
Show more
3
Where will Chamberlain Coffee open a location this year?
SD
San Diego, California
10
%
SF
San Francisco, California
15
%
$751 vol
Show more
8
When will Argentina dollarize its economy?
Before 2026
1
%
↑
2
%
$138,888 vol
Argentina's central bank shuts down this year?
Shuts down
1
%
$69,339 vol
Will Apple launch USDC payments on Apple Pay this year?
B2
Before 2026
2
%
↑
2
%
$5,209 vol