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Trending Elections

Politics

Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Politics

SCOTUS & courts

TrumpJan 1

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

$41,189,002 vol8 more

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

MarketPays outOdds

Before Apr 1, 2027

1.79x

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.76x

Before Jan 1, 2028

1.50x

Before Jan 1, 2027

2.81x

$41,189,002 vol6 more

1 of 3

Which company is behind Ox Alpha?

Z.ai

1.12x

No listed company

10.4x

$141,491 vol20 markets

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes

15.6x

No

1.05x

$2,670,499 vol1 market

Trump’s approval rating on Friday?

39.7 to 39.9

2.73x

39.4 to 39.6

2.98x

$43,781 vol8 markets

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

2.66x

Before Jan 1, 2028

3.80x

$20,310,763 vol9 markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029

3.96x

Before 2028

5.25x

$35,739,287 vol7 markets

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Oct 1, 2027

1.79x

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.76x

$6,716,191 vol9 markets

Next DCCC chair?

Jason Crow

5.56x

Ami Bera

7.85x

$13,965 vol9 markets

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027

11.7x

Before Dec 1, 2026

18.8x

$3,887,320 vol5 markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 30

1.60x

Above 35

3.52x

$19,232 vol11 markets

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?

Amy Gleason

Amy Gleason

Amy Gleason

2.24x

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

2.34x

$7,361,028 vol31 markets

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes

23.4x

No

1.03x

$12,428,135 vol1 market

SCOTUS & courts

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

James Ho

James Ho

James Ho

6.29x

Andrew Oldham

Andrew Oldham

Andrew Oldham

6.74x

$677,188 vol39 markets

SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Anthony Fauci

Anthony Fauci

Anthony Fauci

2.19x

John Brennan

John Brennan

John Brennan

2.73x

$1,583,254 vol41 markets

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

Before Sep 15, 2026

1.62x

Before Sep 8, 2026

2.34x

$76,458 vol5 markets

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)

At least 3

1.55x

At least 5

2.89x

$10,996 vol7 markets

Who will Donald Trump talk to this month?

Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

1.79x

Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

1.86x

$101,161 vol19 markets

Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

Before December 1, 2026

6.29x

Before November 1, 2026

7.25x

$1,048,769 vol4 markets

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

Yes

5.56x

No

1.18x

$291,153 vol1 market

Trump’s approval rating tomorrow?

39.6

2.59x

39.7

2.73x

$5,793 vol9 markets

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/23 - 8/29)

Yes

8.56x

No

1.10x

$6,513 vol1 market

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Yes

10.4x

No

1.08x

$252,020 vol1 market