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Trending Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Texas Senate winner? Odds & Predictions 2026

Elections
·
Senate

Texas Senate winner?

Series Image

Elections
·
Senate

Texas Senate winner?

Begins in 114 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST

Chance

Ken Paxton

Republican party

57%

▼ 1

Ken Paxton

Republican party

57%

▼ 1

James Talarico

Democratic party

43%

▲ 1

James Talarico

Democratic party

43%

▲ 1

Race Intel· Texas

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors

James TalaricoDem45.8%
45.8%
$40.3M
57%
$40.3M raised·57% small donors
Ken PaxtonRep45.1%
45.1%
$7M
15%
$7M raised·15% small donors

Polls · Jul 11 · FEC Q1 2026 · Small-donor ≤ $200

Ken Paxton

Dollars$

Odds

0% chance

Max payout

$0

$5,629,478 vol

1D

1W

1M

ALL