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Economics

MentionsFinanceTech & Science

Economics

All markets
Econ Daily
Econ Weekly
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
Hub
Fed

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 4.00%
2.19x
Above 3.75%
1.67x
$11,926 vol21 markets
Oil and energy

US gas prices tomorrow

Above 4.065
1.42x
Above 4.070
7.85x
$169,526 vol17 markets
US FED

Fed decision in September?

Fed maintains rate
1.33x
Hike 25bps
3.66x
$9,376,023 vol5 markets
Econ Weekly

US gas prices this week

Above 4.070
8.56x
Above 4.060
1.07x
$356,570 vol27 markets
Inflation

US headline CPI inflation in December 2027

Above 3.0%
1.52x
Above 2.5%
1.33x
$2,243 vol13 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts
1.15x
Exactly 1 cut
6.74x
$7,047,657 vol21 markets
Fed

Next Fed rate hike?

Before 2027
2.01x
Before July 2027
1.42x
$4,744,431 vol3 markets
Fed

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.06x
$572,328 vol1 market
Jobs & Economy

Unemployment in August

Above 4.1%
1.65x
Above 4.2%
2.98x
$195,143 vol14 markets
Growth

US private data center construction spending in July

Above $70.0B
1.86x
Above $72.5B
4.13x
$8,927 vol7 markets
Inflation

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

Above 3.3%
1.46x
Above 3.4%
2.46x
$80,737 vol26 markets
Global Central Banks

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

Maintain current rate
1.06x
Hike 1-25bps
23.4x
$52,755 vol5 markets
Growth

Recession this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.06x
$3,292,757 vol1 market
US FED

Fed funds rate after September meeting?

Above 3.75%
3.52x
Above 4.00%
93.5x
$426,440 vol11 markets
Oil and energy

Gas prices in the US this month

Above 4.10
1.90x
Above 4.00
1.36x
$440,729 vol26 markets
Inflation

How high will inflation get this year?

At least 4.5%
2.98x
At least 5.0%
7.25x
$807,761 vol6 markets
Inflation

CPI in August

Above 0.3%
2.14x
Above 0.4%
5.56x
$68,360 vol15 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in 2026?

2.1% to 2.5%
3.03x
1.6% to 2.0%
3.70x
$365,087 vol14 markets
Inflation

Argentina inflation rate MoM for August

Above 2.0%
1.86x
Above 2.2%
5.56x
$9,664 vol9 markets
GDP

U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.06x
$68,709 vol1 market
Economics

August 2026 Employment Combo: U3 & NFP

U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k
3.66x
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
7.25x
$22,896 vol12 markets
Oil and energy

How high will US gas prices get this year?

Above $4.60
2.05x
Above $4.80
2.46x
$1,324,568 vol13 markets
Jobs & Economy

US retail sales in August

Above 0.2%
1.90x
Above 0.4%
2.29x
$1,537 vol9 markets
Housing

US existing home sales for August

Above 4.00M
1.86x
Above 4.10M
3.29x
$7,909 vol8 markets