MARKETSPERPSLIVE83
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimate

Economics

MentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive83AccountSocial
Product
Perpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
TrendingElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimate

Economics

MentionsFinanceTech & Science

Fed

All markets
Econ Daily
Econ Weekly
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
Hub
Fed

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 4.00%
2.19x
Above 3.75%
1.67x
$11,905 vol21 markets
US FED

Fed decision in September?

Fed maintains rate
1.33x
Hike 25bps
3.52x
$9,307,403 vol5 markets
Fed

Next Fed rate hike?

Before 2027
1.97x
Before July 2027
1.42x
$4,731,737 vol3 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts
1.16x
Exactly 1 cut
7.25x
$7,025,178 vol21 markets
US FED

Fed funds rate after September meeting?

Above 3.75%
3.52x
Above 4.00%
93.5x
$426,328 vol11 markets
Fed

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.06x
$560,605 vol1 market
Fed

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Yes
6.29x
No
1.15x
$967,183 vol1 market
Fed

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Exactly 0
2.05x
Exactly 1
2.40x
$57,731 vol13 markets
US FED

September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents

Rate: No change, Dissents: >0
1.42x
Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0
6.29x
$23,097 vol6 markets
Fed

Number of emergency rate cuts this year?

0 cuts
1.06x
1 cuts
18.8x
$430,800 vol5 markets
US FED

Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting?

Neel Kashkari
2.29x
Beth Hammack
1.55x
$21,954 vol12 markets
Fed

Will the Fed publish a dot plot in September 2026?

Yes
1.06x
No
9.41x
$6,960 vol1 market
Economics

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Dot Plot Omitted
3.18x
Presser Skipped
6.29x
$38,348 vol5 markets
US FED

How many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting?

3
2.89x
0
3.40x
$20,590 vol5 markets
Fed

UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026

Above 4.10%
1.60x
Above 4.20%
2.34x
$13,164 vol16 markets
Fed

Will rates hit zero this year?

Yes
46.8x
No
1.01x
$55,098 vol1 market
Economics

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?

Before Jan 1, 2031
1.22x
Before Jan 1, 2030
7.85x
$6,753 vol5 markets
Fed

SOFR up or down for August 14, 2026?

Yes
1.16x
No
1.16x
$0 vol1 market
Economics

Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Michael Faulkender
2.24x
David Altig
3.66x
$23 vol5 markets
Fed

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

Yes
9.41x
No
1.05x
$172,925 vol1 market
Economics

Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?

Yes
1.86x
No
1.83x
$4,499 vol1 market
Fed

Fed median dot plot in September 2026

Above 3.8%
1.62x
Above 3.9%
2.73x
$1,348 vol12 markets
Fed

SOFR at end of Q3 2026

Above 3.75%
2.01x
Above 4.25%
9.41x
$2,134 vol3 markets
Fed

Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

Above $6.8 trillion
1.93x
Above $6.9 trillion
3.66x
$3,607 vol12 markets