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Economics

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Jobs & Economy

All markets
Econ Daily
Econ Weekly
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Global Central Banks
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Jobs & Economy
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Hub
Econ Weekly

Initial jobless claims for the week ending August 15, 2026

At least 210,000
2.19x
At least 205,000
1.67x
$15,890 vol11 markets
Jobs & Economy

Unemployment in August

Above 4.1%
1.62x
Above 4.2%
3.08x
$194,599 vol14 markets
Jobs & Economy

US retail sales in August

Above 0.2%
1.97x
Above 0.4%
2.29x
$1,469 vol9 markets
Economics

August 2026 Employment Combo: U3 & NFP

U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k
3.66x
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
7.25x
$22,359 vol12 markets
Jobs & Economy

Jobs numbers this month?

Above 60,000
2.05x
Above 50,000
1.76x
$16,334 vol13 markets
Jobs & Economy

Unemployment rate in August?

Exactly 4.2%
3.18x
Exactly 4.1%
3.40x
$22,991 vol23 markets
Jobs & Economy

China unemployment rate in July

Above 5.2%
1.20x
Above 4.9%
1.07x
$24,262 vol11 markets
Jobs & Economy

Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% this year?

Yes
3.80x
No
1.23x
$12,403 vol1 market
Jobs & Economy

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

Above 4.5%
3.66x
Above 4.8%
9.41x
$728,841 vol14 markets
Econ Weekly

TSA avg check-ins from Aug 10 to 16, 2026?

Above 2.55 million
1.79x
Above 2.5 million
1.03x
$6,210 vol21 markets
Jobs & Economy

Auto-loan delinquencies this quarter

Above 5.4%
1.57x
Above 5.6%
2.98x
$5,906 vol8 markets
Inflation

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Soft landing
1.65x
Overheating
2.73x
$81,582 vol4 markets
Jobs & Economy

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

Above 32.5%
2.19x
Above 32.0%
1.40x
$1,450 vol9 markets
Jobs & Economy

ADP employment change this month?

Above 50000
1.86x
Above 75000
2.73x
$3,535 vol7 markets
Jobs & Economy

Russia unemployment rate in July

Above 2.2%
1.90x
Above 2.1%
1.08x
$3,203 vol6 markets
Jobs & Economy

Australia unemployment rate in July

Above 4.4%
1.83x
Above 4.5%
3.80x
$41,537 vol10 markets
Jobs & Economy

Temporary-help employment in August

Above 2.510 million
1.86x
Above 2.520 million
2.81x
$76 vol6 markets
Jobs & Economy

Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in August?

Yes
1.40x
No
2.98x
$487 vol1 market
Jobs & Economy

US personal saving rate at year-end 2026

Below 2.5%
2.59x
4.0% or Above
4.98x
$6,381 vol5 markets
Jobs & Economy

Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% this year?

Yes
4.51x
No
1.19x
$21,346 vol1 market
Jobs & Economy

Will Michigan consumer sentiment go above 65 this year?

Yes
5.90x
No
1.08x
$4,990 vol1 market
Jobs & Economy

Will wage satisfaction hit a new low this year?

Yes
1.25x
No
3.29x
$338 vol1 market
Jobs & Economy

USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?

Above 60.0%
1.79x
Above 62.0%
2.66x
$8,905 vol8 markets
Jobs & Economy

UK retail sales in July

Above 0.0%
2.24x
Above 0.5%
2.46x
$1,527 vol8 markets