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Elections

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US Elections

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
2028

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
4.98x
Jon Ossoff
Jon Ossoff
Jon Ossoff
5.25x
$192,652,720 vol47 markets
House

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.15x
Republican Party
Republican Party
Republican Party
6.29x
$24,584,992 vol2 markets
2028

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.19x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
4.13x
$59,794,024 vol38 markets
2028

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
4.73x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7.25x
$61,917,758 vol30 markets
Senate

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Republican Party
Republican Party
Republican Party
1.79x
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
2.05x
$7,619,981 vol2 markets
House

Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%
3.52x
Democrats, 6 to 8%
4.13x
$1,101,412 vol10 markets
2028

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Gretchen Whitmer
Gretchen Whitmer
Gretchen Whitmer
10.4x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13.4x
$2,775,928 vol45 markets
Senate

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate
2.05x
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
2.46x
$10,450,721 vol4 markets
US Elections

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed
1.62x
Mike Rogers
Mike Rogers
Mike Rogers
2.34x
$1,594,661 vol4 markets
Senate

Maine Senate winner? (Person)

Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson
1.40x
Susan Collins
Susan Collins
Susan Collins
3.08x
$1,996,213 vol15 markets
Mayor

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Karen Bass
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
1.52x
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
2.66x
$92,729,998 vol2 markets
Governor

California Governor winner? (Person)

Xavier Becerra
Xavier Becerra
Xavier Becerra
1.04x
Steve Hilton
Steve Hilton
Steve Hilton
31.2x
$50,646,219 vol2 markets
Senate

Texas Senate margin of victory

Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
2.09x
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
3.29x
$174,007 vol7 markets
Primaries

South Carolina Senate GOP runoff: which counties will Darline Graham win?

Lancaster
1.90x
Oconee
2.40x
$44,456 vol12 markets
US Elections

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Yes
2.81x
No
1.46x
$793,452 vol1 market
Senate

When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?

Before 9PM Aug 25
1.34x
Before 8PM Aug 25
3.40x
$7,997 vol9 markets
Senate

Maine-Texas Senate Combo

James Talarico and Troy Jackson
2.29x
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins
3.08x
$486,270 vol6 markets
House

FL-14 House winner?

Kathy Castor
Kathy Castor
Kathy Castor
1.33x
Mike Beltran
Mike Beltran
Mike Beltran
3.18x
$42,278 vol2 markets
Senate

Blue wave this year?

Yes
1.31x
No
3.66x
$412,517 vol1 market
US Elections

Chicago Mayor winner?

Alexi Giannoulias
Alexi Giannoulias
Alexi Giannoulias
1.76x
Susana Mendoza
Susana Mendoza
Susana Mendoza
4.98x
$96,647 vol16 markets
US Elections

Which ballot measures will pass in California?

Proposition 38
1.97x
Proposition 42
2.01x
$5,907 vol13 markets
Attorney General

Arizona Attorney General winner?

Kris Mayes
Kris Mayes
Kris Mayes
1.38x
Warren Petersen
Warren Petersen
Warren Petersen
2.66x
$9,951 vol2 markets
US Elections

Will the midterms happen on time?

Yes
1.06x
No
13.4x
$65,432 vol1 market
2028

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

Raphael Warnock
Raphael Warnock
Raphael Warnock
1.79x
Elissa Slotkin
Elissa Slotkin
Elissa Slotkin
1.93x
$785,993 vol38 markets