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Politics

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SCOTUS & courts

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Congress
International
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Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
1.97x
John Brennan
John Brennan
John Brennan
2.89x
$1,577,512 vol41 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be arrested this year?

John Brennan
John Brennan
John Brennan
3.80x
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
4.13x
$2,390,193 vol24 markets
SCOTUS & courts

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

1
2.09x
2
2.52x
$208,953 vol10 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?

Yes
1.29x
No
3.08x
$802 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?

Yes
1.52x
No
2.52x
$400 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?

Yes
2.34x
No
1.46x
$420 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?

Yes
1.34x
No
3.29x
$266 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump’s tariffs this year?

Yes
4.51x
No
1.18x
$32,413 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?

Before Jan 1, 2027
4.98x
Before Sep 1, 2026
18.8x
$43,362 vol2 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?

Yes
1.44x
No
2.52x
$737 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

James Ho
James Ho
James Ho
6.29x
Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
6.74x
$668,792 vol39 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination?

Yes
2.59x
No
1.40x
$162 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.04x
$401,468 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.52x
Before Oct 1, 2026
2.98x
$9,167 vol2 markets
SCOTUS & courts

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Before Jul 1, 2027
4.51x
Before Jan 1, 2027
18.8x
$1,099,827 vol3 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.07x
$100,320 vol1 market
Trump

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

Yes
2.29x
No
1.52x
$5,280 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

Yes
5.90x
No
1.15x
$9,848 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.04x
$5,608 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump’s term?

Clarence Thomas
Clarence Thomas
Clarence Thomas
1.86x
Samuel Alito
Samuel Alito
Samuel Alito
1.65x
$102,870 vol9 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?

Yes
1.22x
No
3.96x
$4,503 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?

Yes
3.96x
No
1.22x
$6,891 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

Before 2028
1.36x
Before June 2027
4.13x
$307,438 vol5 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

Yes
2.81x
No
1.36x
$211 vol1 market