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TrendingElections

Politics

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All markets
Congress
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Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump

SCOTUS & courts

SCOTUS & courts

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.40x
Before Jan 1, 2027
7.25x
$836,623 vol3 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.60x
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.52x
$407,958 vol4 markets
SCOTUS & courts

New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

Before 2028
1.52x
Before Jan 21, 2029
1.22x
$274,707 vol5 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
4.51x
James Ho
James Ho
James Ho
5.25x
$639,750 vol38 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

John Brennan
John Brennan
John Brennan
1.67x
Letitia James
Letitia James
Letitia James
2.34x
$1,004,318 vol40 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be arrested this year?

John Brennan
John Brennan
John Brennan
2.05x
Letitia James
Letitia James
Letitia James
3.80x
$2,170,899 vol24 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court rehear Trump’s birthright case this year?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.03x
$14,982 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?

Yes
2.89x
No
1.31x
$15,448 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump’s term?

Clarence Thomas
Clarence Thomas
Clarence Thomas
1.79x
Samuel Alito
Samuel Alito
Samuel Alito
1.44x
$92,321 vol9 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will the FTC go after next?

Microsoft
4.31x
Tesla
7.25x
$11,540 vol5 markets
General

Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?

Yes
3.80x
No
1.29x
$38,897 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump’s tariffs this year?

Yes
4.13x
No
1.25x
$28,239 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.04x
$5,241 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?

Yes
3.96x
No
1.23x
$6,667 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?

Yes
4.13x
No
1.19x
$1,662 vol1 market
Trump

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

Yes
2.66x
No
1.50x
$30 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump’s term?

6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
1.29x
7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
5.25x
$28,172 vol5 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump’s Presidency?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.01x
$5,270 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about flag burning before 2027?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.05x
$3,211 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump’s term ends?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.08x
$8,009 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?

Yes
1.18x
No
4.31x
$2,169 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

Yes
4.98x
No
1.13x
$9,553 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.10x
$390,561 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.05x
$95,304 vol1 market