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TrendingElections

Politics

CultureSportsCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science

Congress

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Congress

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.73x
Before Apr 1, 2027
2.19x
$6,715,519 vol9 markets
Congress

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027
11.7x
Before Dec 1, 2026
15.6x
$3,887,173 vol5 markets
Politics

Next DCCC chair?

Jason Crow
5.56x
Ami Bera
7.85x
$13,935 vol9 markets
Congress

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.04x
$12,417,388 vol1 market
Congress

When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?

Before Sep 26, 2026
5.90x
Before Oct 2, 2026
1.15x
$6,277 vol5 markets
Congress

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.08x
$250,981 vol1 market
Congress

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

Yes
5.56x
No
1.18x
$291,130 vol1 market
Congress

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?

Before Jan 20, 2029
1.93x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.73x
$113,129 vol3 markets
Politics

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.05x
$2,663,104 vol1 market
Congress

Will Congress override Trump’s veto?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.40x
Before 2027
7.25x
$104,796 vol2 markets
Congress

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 50
2.89x
Above 58
3.29x
$33,668 vol8 markets
Congress

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Before Jan 1, 2027
2.46x
Before Oct 1, 2026
3.96x
$750,524 vol3 markets
Politics

How many government shutdowns this year?

2
1.50x
3
2.52x
$51,645 vol4 markets
Congress

Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?

Yes
7.25x
No
1.10x
$36,368 vol1 market
Congress

Who will testify in front of Congress this year?

Sam Altman
Sam Altman
Sam Altman
1.79x
Mark Zuckerberg
Mark Zuckerberg
Mark Zuckerberg
2.34x
$103,314 vol13 markets
Congress

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Mike Lee
3.18x
Ruben Gallego
3.40x
$27,731 vol12 markets
Congress

Will the filibuster be weakened?

Before January 20, 2029
3.08x
Before 2028
3.96x
$137,850 vol3 markets
Congress

Who will switch or leave their party this year?

Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene
2.29x
Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie
7.25x
$143,991 vol6 markets
Congress

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.03x
$976,025 vol1 market
Congress

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?

Before Jan 1, 2028
3.08x
Before Aug 1, 2027
3.80x
$131,831 vol5 markets
Politics

How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026?

At least 1
7.85x
At least 3
10.4x
$15,894 vol3 markets
Congress

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029
2.46x
Before 2027
13.4x
$288,137 vol2 markets
Congress

Which bills will become law this year?

College sports federalization
2.52x
Export-control chip security
3.29x
$773,616 vol30 markets
Politics

Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.03x
$245,553 vol1 market