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TrendingElections

Politics

SportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump

Congress

Congress

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.07x
$7,555,370 vol1 market
Politics

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
2.98x
No
1.40x
$561,585 vol1 market
Congress

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
1.73x
Before Oct 1, 2027
1.93x
$2,909,017 vol6 markets
Congress

Which bills will become law this year?

DEFIANCE Act
3.29x
Export-control chip security
3.80x
$697,417 vol30 markets
Congress

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027
8.56x
Before Aug 1, 2026
46.8x
$2,542,827 vol2 markets
Trump

Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.97x
Before Nov 3, 2026
2.81x
$20,935 vol3 markets
Congress

Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?

Bill Cassidy
Bill Cassidy
Bill Cassidy
1.97x
John Cornyn
John Cornyn
John Cornyn
1.50x
$39,391 vol10 markets
Congress

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Before Aug 1, 2026
2.40x
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.34x
$595,079 vol4 markets
Congress

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Yes
1.67x
No
2.24x
$20,801 vol1 market
Congress

When will the House pass a budget resolution?

Before Jan 1, 2027
2.40x
Before Oct 1, 2026
4.73x
$10,603 vol3 markets
Politics

How many Cabinet nominees will be confirmed before the August recess?

2
1.93x
3
3.40x
$1,983 vol4 markets
Congress

When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.76x
Before Sep 1, 2026
8.56x
$4,655 vol3 markets
Congress

When will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Before Aug 1, 2026
1.33x
Before Jul 18, 2026
4.73x
$262,942 vol3 markets
Congress

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.89x
Before Jan 1, 2028
4.13x
$14,888 vol3 markets
Congress

Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?

Yes
1.57x
No
2.19x
$27,773 vol1 market
Congress

When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?

Before Dec 15, 2026
2.29x
Before Dec 1, 2026
3.52x
$2,097 vol7 markets
Congress

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 50
2.34x
Above 55
2.66x
$5,960 vol8 markets
Congress

Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?

Yes
2.01x
No
1.83x
$968 vol1 market
Politics

Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.06x
$177,056 vol1 market
Congress

Who will testify in front of Congress this year?

Sam Altman
Sam Altman
Sam Altman
1.62x
Shou Zi Chew
Shou Zi Chew
Shou Zi Chew
2.14x
$92,919 vol13 markets
Congress

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

Before 2028
1.46x
Before Jan 20, 2029
1.38x
$169,846 vol3 markets
Congress

Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?

Morgan McGarvey
3.52x
Ron Wyden
4.51x
$26,693 vol10 markets
Congress

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.05x
$676,766 vol1 market
Congress

When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?

Before Nov 3, 2026
2.46x
Before Oct 1, 2026
3.08x
$65,887 vol3 markets