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Trending Elections

Politics

Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Politics

SCOTUS & courts

TrumpJan 1

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

$41,246,004 vol8 more

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

MarketPays outOdds

Before Apr 1, 2027

1.86x

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.76x

Before Jan 1, 2027

2.81x

Before Jan 1, 2028

1.40x

$41,246,004 vol6 more

1 of 3

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/23-8/29)

200-219

3.96x

220-240

3.80x

$123,021 vol10 markets

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes

15.6x

No

1.05x

$2,676,488 vol1 market

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

2.66x

Before Jan 1, 2028

3.96x

$20,322,819 vol9 markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029

3.96x

Before 2028

5.25x

$35,749,511 vol7 markets

Trump’s approval rating on Friday?

39.7 to 39.9

2.81x

39.4 to 39.6

2.98x

$47,391 vol8 markets

Next DCCC chair?

Jason Crow

5.56x

Ami Bera

7.85x

$13,981 vol9 markets

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027

15.6x

Before Dec 1, 2026

18.8x

$3,888,482 vol5 markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 30

1.76x

Above 35

3.80x

$20,269 vol11 markets

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Oct 1, 2027

1.79x

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.73x

$6,716,443 vol9 markets

Trump’s approval rating tomorrow?

39.7

2.46x

39.6

2.89x

$9,450 vol9 markets

SCOTUS & courts

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

James Ho

James Ho

James Ho

6.29x

Andrew Oldham

Andrew Oldham

Andrew Oldham

6.74x

$677,282 vol39 markets

SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Anthony Fauci

Anthony Fauci

Anthony Fauci

2.19x

John Brennan

John Brennan

John Brennan

2.81x

$1,584,144 vol41 markets

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?

Amy Gleason

Amy Gleason

Amy Gleason

2.24x

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

2.66x

$7,362,302 vol31 markets

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes

31.2x

No

1.03x

$12,475,069 vol1 market

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

Before Sep 15, 2026

1.65x

Before Sep 8, 2026

2.40x

$76,777 vol5 markets

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)

At least 3

1.55x

At least 5

2.98x

$11,008 vol7 markets

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

Yes

5.56x

No

1.18x

$291,154 vol1 market

Who will Donald Trump talk to this month?

Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

1.65x

Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

1.86x

$101,350 vol19 markets

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/23 - 8/29)

Yes

8.56x

No

1.10x

$6,673 vol1 market

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?

Before Jan 20, 2029

1.93x

Before Jan 1, 2028

2.73x

$114,134 vol3 markets

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Yes

10.4x

No

1.08x

$253,670 vol1 market