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Trending Elections

Politics

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SCOTUS & courts

Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)

Above 150

2.34x

Above 175

4.13x

$238,589 vol9 markets

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before 2028

1.70x

Before 2027

3.40x

$17,961,370 vol8 markets

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 60

1.44x

Above 70

3.40x

$22,828 vol7 markets

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic? (7/6 - 7/12)

July 7

1.15x

July 6

9.41x

$46,294 vol7 markets

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)

At least 50

3.66x

At least 60

6.29x

$73,919 vol6 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

Yes

20.0x

No

1.04x

$1,768,829 vol1 market

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Yes

15.6x

No

1.06x

$1,407,793 vol1 market

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?

Yes

13.4x

No

1.05x

$967,789 vol1 market

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)

Above 125

2.34x

Above 100

1.34x

$208 vol9 markets

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic? (7/13 - 7/19)

July 13

5.90x

July 16

5.90x

$147 vol7 markets

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Before Jan 1, 2027

18.8x

Before Aug 1, 2026

93.5x

$1,485,603 vol2 markets

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Before 2027

18.8x

Before September 2026

46.8x

$243,032 vol2 markets

Will Iran become a democracy this year?

Yes

25.0x

No

1.03x

$274,147 vol1 market