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TrendingElections

Politics

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Iran

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)

Above 35
1.52x
Above 30
1.15x
$98,698 vol11 markets
Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.66x
Before Jan 1, 2028
3.40x
$20,294,390 vol9 markets
Politics

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 40
2.34x
Above 60
4.13x
$100,913 vol9 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 35
2.89x
Above 30
1.86x
$10,266 vol11 markets
Iran

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 10
1.65x
Above 15
2.98x
$15,340 vol6 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)

Above 290
1.25x
Above 300
1.18x
$5,330 vol5 markets
Iran

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)

August 22
1.09x
August 23
6.29x
$7,813 vol7 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 150
1.07x
Above 175
1.06x
$742 vol5 markets
Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.06x
$1,591,533 vol1 market
Politics

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (August 2026)

At least 30
31.2x
At least 50
46.8x
$50,836 vol8 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/17 - 8/23)

Above 200
1.38x
Above 225
10.4x
$6,059 vol5 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 200
1.23x
Above 225
3.80x
$1,499 vol5 markets
Iran

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/24 - 8/30)

August 30
4.73x
August 28
4.98x
$43 vol7 markets
Iran

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.06x
$1,005,182 vol1 market
Iran

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.04x
$1,554,094 vol1 market
Iran

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Before 2027
23.4x
Before September 2026
93.5x
$290,465 vol2 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)

Above 200
1.28x
Above 225
3.52x
$1,567 vol5 markets
Finance

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

Yes
25.0x
No
1.03x
$1,816,518 vol1 market
Iran

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 290
2.19x
Above 280
1.33x
$0 vol5 markets
Politics

Will Iran become a democracy this year?

Yes
33.3x
No
1.02x
$296,717 vol1 market