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Tech & Science
Aug 21
Which company is behind Ox Alpha?
Z.ai
86
%
No listed company
14
%
$154,405 vol
18 more
Tech & Science
Which company is behind Ox Alpha?
Market
Pays out
Odds
Z.ai
1.15
x
86
%
No listed company
6.74
x
14
%
Alibaba
93.5
x
1
%
Ant Group
93.5
x
1
%
$154,405 vol
16 more
1 of 3
Space
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
3.96
x
24
%
Before 2028
5.25
x
17
%
$35,749,797 vol
7 markets
Industries
NVIDIA H200 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $4.50
2.40
x
40
%
Above $4.00
1.20
x
65
%
$79,573 vol
21 markets
Google
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Yes
7.85
x
9
%
No
1.09
x
91
%
$525,362 vol
1 market
Industries
NVIDIA B200 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $6.50
2.66
x
34
%
Above $6.00
1.08
x
93
%
$75,238 vol
33 markets
AI
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.65
x
58
%
Before 2027
1.38
x
71
%
$434,072 vol
4 markets
AI
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Monday?
Above $2.96
2.14
x
44
%
Above $2.81
1.73
x
59
%
$43,025 vol
20 markets
Big Tech & Business
Where will Waymo operate this year?
Sacramento, CA
1.97
x
48
%
Detroit, MI
2.46
x
42
%
$72,843 vol
10 markets
Industries
NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $1.00
1.02
x
98
%
Above $1.25
7.25
x
13
%
$29,175 vol
10 markets
Industries
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in August
Above $2.75
1.46
x
67
%
Above $3.00
46.8
x
2
%
$52,778 vol
9 markets
Industries
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $2.75
1.86
x
54
%
Above $3.00
3.52
x
25
%
$44,052 vol
12 markets
Space
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
Before Sep 18, 2026
2.05
x
45
%
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.07
x
94
%
$129,242 vol
4 markets
Tech & Science
Measles cases this year?
Above 6000
2.73
x
35
%
Above 8000
5.90
x
14
%
$1,202,461 vol
5 markets
Industries
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in August
Above $0.50
1.06
x
89
%
Above $0.75
93.5
x
1
%
$92,034 vol
8 markets
Medicine
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
before December
1.67
x
52
%
before 2027
1.48
x
59
%
$20,416 vol
6 markets
Space
Total space launches in August
Above 15
1.23
x
71
%
Above 14
1.07
x
87
%
$33,214 vol
8 markets
Big Tech & Business
Which states will robotaxi be offered to this year?
Georgia
2.34
x
36
%
Arizona
1.19
x
80
%
$36,239 vol
4 markets
AI
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Dec 1, 2026
5.90
x
15
%
Before Jan 1, 2027
5.25
x
18
%
$1,928,169 vol
5 markets
AI
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
1.62
x
60
%
OpenAI
3.29
x
29
%
$1,017,192 vol
9 markets
Medicine
When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
before October
1.83
x
47
%
before November
1.55
x
57
%
$11,098 vol
6 markets
AI
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Monday?
Above $4.22
1.90
x
55
%
Above $4.42
2.09
x
44
%
$16,360 vol
30 markets
SpaceX
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.26
x
78
%
Before Oct 1, 2026
18.8
x
5
%
$16,223 vol
4 markets