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Tech & Science

All markets
AI
Big Tech & Business
Education
Energy
Medicine
Physics & Math
Public Health
Space

AI

AI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude
1.48x
ChatGPT
5.90x
$6,668,864 vol7 markets
Energy

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by end of year?

Above $7.67
1.08x
Above $7.97
4.31x
$41,013 vol7 markets
AI

Best AI this month?

Claude
1.09x
Gemini
15.6x
$284,928 vol6 markets
AI

When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?

Before Jul 31, 2026
1.26x
Before Jul 24, 2026
4.13x
$31,152 vol3 markets
AI

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic
1.40x
OpenAI
3.66x
$893,839 vol9 markets
AI

Top Math AI this month

Gemini
1.73x
Claude
2.24x
$56,531 vol7 markets
AI

When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

Before Sep 1, 2026
2.40x
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.57x
$128,565 vol5 markets
AI

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 2027
4.73x
Before Dec 1, 2026
5.90x
$1,734,903 vol6 markets
AI

Top Coding AI this month

ChatGPT
1.09x
Claude
9.41x
$70,726 vol8 markets
AI

Top AI model this week

claude-opus-4-6-thinking
1.01x
claude-fable-5
46.8x
$57,519 vol10 markets
Tech & Science

When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Apr 1, 2028
1.70x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.09x
$76,827 vol12 markets
AI

Top Coding AI this week

Claude
1.04x
ChatGPT
18.8x
$62,934 vol9 markets
AI

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1520 score
1.93x
At least 1530 score
3.08x
$82,404 vol8 markets
Energy

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by end of month?

Above $0.48
1.55x
Above $0.53
2.14x
$3,075 vol20 markets
AI

Best AI this week

ChatGPT
46.8x
Claude
--
$217,430 vol8 markets
Energy

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by end of month?

Above $5.36
2.29x
Above $5.26
1.31x
$10,534 vol20 markets
AI

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam before end of year?

At least 60%
1.67x
At least 65%
2.29x
$5,816 vol9 markets
Big Tech & Business

Which states will robotaxi be offered to this year?

Nevada
1.34x
Arizona
1.33x
$24,110 vol5 markets
Big Tech & Business

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Yes
7.25x
No
1.12x
$323,711 vol1 market
AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI
2.98x
xAI
4.31x
$1,012,268 vol12 markets
AI

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

above 1495
1.76x
above 1490
1.33x
$12,802 vol7 markets
Tech & Science

Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?

Before Jan 1, 2035
2.46x
Before Jan 1, 2033
2.98x
$40,604 vol6 markets
Energy

Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by end of year?

Above $5.19
3.29x
Above $5.49
3.80x
$45,460 vol6 markets
Energy

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by end of year?

Above $1.84
2.81x
Above $1.69
2.52x
$7,563 vol9 markets