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Tech & Science

Big Tech & Business

Physics & Math

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

Before September

1.70x

Before October

1.31x

$73,819 vol6 markets

Who will win the Fields Medal this year?

John Pardon

John Pardon

John Pardon

1.65x

Yu Deng

Yu Deng

Yu Deng

1.29x

$111,643 vol10 markets

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August?

Oklo

2.09x

Radiant Industries

2.09x

$285,959 vol7 markets

When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

Before 2035

4.98x

Before 2032

5.90x

$71,743 vol4 markets

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

Before 2035

1.62x

Before 2030

2.46x

$36,213 vol4 markets

Near room-temperature Meissner effect this year?

Yes

13.4x

No

1.02x

$2,567 vol1 market

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

Before 2040

1.83x

Before 2035

2.01x

$45,122 vol3 markets

Nobel Physics winner?

Alexei Kitaev

3.40x

John Preskill

3.52x

$6,459 vol24 markets

Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026

Amitav Ghosh

6.29x

Salman Rushdie

9.41x

$455 vol10 markets

Nobel Prize in Economics 2026

Partha Dasgupta

5.90x

Robert Barro

9.41x

$515 vol9 markets

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

Before 2035

1.83x

Before 2030

3.08x

$76,749 vol5 markets