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Tech & Science

Big Tech & Business

All markets
AI
Big Tech & Business
Education
Energy
Market Share
Medicine
Physics & Math
Public Health
Space
Tokens
Tesla

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.07x
$351,322 vol1 market
AI

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.08x
$107,085 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

Detroit, MI
2.09x
Sacramento, CA
1.62x
$68,082 vol10 markets
Big Tech & Business

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Earbuds/Headphones
8.56x
Clip-on device for clothing
7.25x
$138,074 vol10 markets
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
2.24x
Before 2028
4.51x
$894,365 vol3 markets
Big Tech & Business

Which states will robotaxi be offered to this year?

Georgia
2.34x
Arizona
1.10x
$34,070 vol4 markets
Space

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

Yes
1.50x
No
2.46x
$54,046 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

Yes
2.52x
No
1.46x
$60,516 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Yes
1.57x
No
2.29x
$91,859 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Yes
3.80x
No
1.26x
$86,697 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

How many people will Neuralink have implanted this year?

At least 30
1.52x
At least 40
2.29x
$12,332 vol6 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?

Yes
7.25x
No
1.10x
$22,991 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?

Yes
1.62x
No
2.05x
$8,614 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.06x
$17,246 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?

Yes
1.83x
No
1.83x
$9,983 vol1 market