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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Senate
House
Governor
Balance of Power
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Democrats
have a
63% chance
to control the Senate
Senate forecast
Democrats
have a
91% chance
to control the House
House forecast
Democrats
have a
90% chance
of winning the 2028 Presidential Election
Presidential forecast
Combos
US Elections
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Democrats sweep
62
%
D-House, R-Senate
29
%
$25,209,922 vol
4 markets
Senate
Blue wave this year?
Yes
87
%
No
13
%
$807,687 vol
1 market
Senate
Blue tsunami this year?
Yes
51
%
No
49
%
$604,919 vol
1 market
Texas Elections
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Greg Abbott and James Talarico win
49
%
Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win
37
%
$18,636 vol
4 markets
Ohio Elections
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
54
%
Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win
26
%
$28,044 vol
4 markets
Senate
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)
Yes
66
%
No
34
%
$24,008 vol
1 market
Maine Elections
Maine Governor-Senate combo
Hannah Pingree and Troy Jackson win
53
%
Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win
40
%
$38,305 vol
4 markets
Senate
Red wave this year?
Yes
8
%
No
92
%
$31,220 vol
1 market
Kansas Elections
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win
55
%
Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win
22
%
$46,296 vol
4 markets
Senate
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
Yes
20
%
No
80
%
$16,896 vol
1 market
Georgia Elections
Georgia Governor-Senate combo
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
53
%
Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win
47
%
$82,628 vol
4 markets
Iowa Elections
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
44
%
Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
39
%
$58,510 vol
4 markets
House
2026: Trump’s dream year?
Yes
3
%
No
97
%
$595,443 vol
1 market
Senate
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win
90
%
Amy Klobuchar and Michele Tafoya win
8
%
$43,795 vol
4 markets
Florida Elections
Florida Governor-Senate combo
Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win
80
%
David Jolly and Angie Nixon win
10
%
$4,980 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?
Yes
37
%
No
63
%
$8,360 vol
1 market
California
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
64
%
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
38
%
$53,191 vol
4 markets
Alaska elections
Alaska Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
68
%
Republicans sweep
18
%
$66,572 vol
4 markets
House
2026: Trump’s bad year?
Yes
5
%
No
95
%
$259,805 vol
1 market
Mixed Combos
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?
At least 1
20
%
At least 3
13
%
$23,858 vol
10 markets
House Combos
Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
Yes
58
%
No
42
%
$249 vol
1 market
New Hampshire Elections
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win
82
%
Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win
12
%
$67,868 vol
4 markets
Nebraska Elections
Nebraska Governor-Senate combo
Jim Pillen and Pete Ricketts win
64
%
Jim Pillen and Dan Osborn win
26
%
$0 vol
4 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
At least 4
56
%
At least 5
44
%
$354 vol
8 markets
